Forex Trades & Talk

      betr. EUR/USD

      also ich bin ja wahnsinnig (nach meinem System bullisch gestimmt) Ich weiß daß viele Trader nach Kerzensignalen handeln. Wie vorhin erwähnt, hat das Pair mit der 10 Uhr-Kerze en bärisch Engulfing gezeigt. Ich bin jedoch der Meinung das ist ein falsches Zeichen. Denn die 2-er-Formationen funktionieren nicht immer. Bestes Bsp. am letzten Freitag 24.06.05. Mit der 14-Uhr-Kerze hatten wir ebenso ein sogar noch besser ausgeprägtes bärisch Engulfing im Std.-Chart. Danach gings, wie Ihr ja wißt, weiter nach oben, statt nach unten. Also in 2 Tagen schon 2 Mal ein false move. Deshalb meine Meinung: Trends sind stärker als Kerzensignale. Wie geht Ihr damit um?

      Original von Schuni
      Hallo KVMann,

      die Probleme mit den Nierensteinen überwunden?

      Gruß

      Schuni


      Schuni, ich hoffe es.
      Nachdem ich am Freitag mit Kolik noch im Krankenhaus gelandet bin, geht es jetzt wieder gut. Der dumme Stein hat sich dann doch entschieden noch rauszukommen und somit dürfte erst mal Ruhe sein.
      Wer nicht fähig ist, sich selbst eine Meinung zu bilden und eine Entscheidung zu treffen, darf nicht zur Börse.

      @goso

      hatte sogar gestern abend schon den long trade gestartet


      und zwar 1,2090 mit IS 1,2074

      allerdings habe ich dann glattgestellt mit 8 pips plus da ich über nacht nicht drin bleiben wollte... das ergebnis hätte natürlich noch deutlich besser ausgesehen.

      aber wenn ich jeden tag so schöne trade hätte wäre ich schon zufrieden...

      RE: Re:

      Yesterdays News and Events:


      This weekend, Chinas Central Bank Governor Zhou attended a meeting at the BIS in Basel where he dropped some comments regarding the Chinese Yuan: He said that China felt the pressure (to revalue) from the US, but added that they did not mind, China had adopted a gradual Forex reform. He also claimed that their FX reserves, currently running at 660 Bln. US Dollars, was due to capital flows and that current account was not too imbalanced.

      Japans BOJ president Fukui, also in Basel on the weekend, said rates were to remain low as long as inflation remained low and the biggest threat for their economy were the rising oil-prices.

      Meeting in China with Asean finance ministers colleagues, Japans Tanigaki said China needed to have a more flexible currency regime, but unlike the US he felt that China should be allowed to follow its own timetable. Finally BOJ Watanabe said that in light of the importance of the Euro, Japan will undertake to diversify their Forex reserves, but only during times of Dollar strength and only if it had no negative impact on currency markets. Now this is a big statement: with some 840Bln$, Japan is holding the largest FX reserves in the world, so far, only a small part of this sum is held in Euro. Shifting more weight to the Euro will see a major player currently supporting the US Dollar at least reducing its purchase of US treasuries which could have a lasting impact on financial markets.



      Todays Key Issues:


      The week starts slow on economic data, markets may remain side-lined till Thursday.

      German IFO Business Climate Index is due with the release of these comments. Expectations are for a small gain to 93.2.

      This week, the key event will be the FOMC rate decision on Thursday, expectations are for a 0.25% rate hike, failing to do so would disappoint the market and send the Dollar lower.


      The Risk Today:

      Euro was up in Asia this morning, driven by a high close on Friday and Central Bank comments that are not very supportive of the Dollar, especially the outlook that Japan could try to convert some of their outstanding Dollar reserves into other currency, or limit their US treasury purchases in the future, does weigh heavy. The 8-h USDCHF chart below shows the last two months of the dollar rise. Presently trading below key level 1.2685, we have scratched the steeper 6-week support-line, now acting as resistance intra-day (@1.2710), failure to climb back above that, should send the dollar for its lower trend-support at 1.2500ish.