Forex Trades & Talk
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Original von goso
Nein, MT hat sich verabschiedet, wirklich verlassen kann man sich auf das Teil nicht.
Für eine Demo ist das ja noch zu verschmerzen. Aber wie ist das eigentlich bei denen, die MT als Charting Tool über ihren Broker nutzen? Fällt das dann auch aus?If you don't bet, you can't win.
If you lose all your chips, you can't bet.
- Larry Hite -
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The Trend is your only Friend
- einer, der Bescheid weiß - -
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Yesterdays News and Events:
Fuelled by disappointing numbers from the US, the Euro as well as the GBP gained during Fridays European session. But despite lower Personal Income, lower consumer spending and a sharp drop of the U Michigan sentiment, the Dollar held on to key levels and closed the week on a bullish note. Markets in Asia, in yet another busy Monday morning session, went ahead and bought up the Dollar to new highs.
The last seat up for grabs in German parliament has gone to Ms. Merkel CDU. Of course this seat does little to change the political dead-lock, but may be the straw that tips the scale in favor of a new Chancellor.
Todays Key Issues:
September PMI Manufacturing for Euroland is due at 8am GMT, the UK will follow 30minutes later, forecast at 50.9 (+0.5) respectively 50.0 (-0.1).
The US shows its September ISM Manufacturing data at 14.00GMT, expect it to shed 1.5 points to 52.1.
Late tonight at 23.30GMT, Australian August Trade Balance will be released, expect a slightly narrower deficit of some AUD 1.3Bln.
The Risk Today:
4H EURUSD chart: without harming bearish trend, the pair spiked to near 1.2100 before continuing its bearish path, taking out key 1.2000 support in the process.
Downside today can stretch into the high 1.18s which is key support on the long-term charts:
Weekly EURUSD: The 1.1865 level has been a key level over the past 3 years. Originally a resistance, it has been the area where EURUSD bounced back up in 2004 and earlier this year, building a head & shoulder formation over a 2-year period. While we may see short-term dips below this 1.1865 support, we can only consider it broken with a weekly close, so in case we trade at 1.1775 early this week, chances are very high to retrace back over 1.1865 by Friday as such strong supports rarely get broken with the first attack. For the first half of the month of October, expect EURUSD to remain in a range 1.18 1.23, take advantage of spikes to establish fresh Euro shorts. Over time, the 1.1860 support should crack and we can look ahead to further rise of the US currency in the November to February period, target is 1.13ish. -
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guten morgen goso,
ich lasse zur zeit die charts (cable) von B.I.S und VV auf einem bildschirm nebeneinander laufen.ich vergleiche den einzigen indikator,den ich noch nehme(außer TL und EMA 34)
dymoi-bei B.I.S und BB-OSC bei VC
der einstieg schort (5 min)war gleich9.40 uhr (glaube ich zu 1.7569.
aber kein momentum
adx 16
so warte ich lieber auf den ausbruch.
der BB-osc von VC ist mir eindeutiger im fx als der dymoi.(die einstellungen bei VC sind nicht zu gebrauchen.einen schönen tag wünscht dir
tantum -
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DAILY MARKET COMMENTARY
Monday, October 03, 2005 8:00 GMT
Daily Commentary
By: Cornelius Luca
gftforex.com
The dollar surged versus the yen on Friday and reversed losses against the European currencies. Despite brief corrective pullbacks, the
US currency should remain in demand.
EURO/DOLLAR
Eurodollar fell from a week -high of 1.2090 on Friday and this adds confidence that the overall negative sentiment remains in place.
Below 1.1920, the euro/dollar has a strong pivotal support at 1.1866. A close below 1.1885 would trigger a long -term head -and-shoulders
formation.
Initial resistance is at 1.1976. Above 1.2000, resistance is seen at 1.2040. The next level remains stacked at 1.2100.
Oscillators are falling.
NEAR-TERM: Bearish
MEDIUM-TERM: Bearish
LONG-TERM: Bullish
DOLLAR/YEN
Dollar/yen rallied sharply on Friday and it hit a 2 ½-month high of 113.66 This strength should continue.
Resistance is seen at 114.20 from a 50-point pivot, which targets 114.70 and 113.70. Distant resistance is at 115.50.
Below 113.70, strong support is at 112.90 from a 50 -point pivot, which targets 113.40 and 112.40.
Oscillators are advancing.
NEAR-TERM: Bullish
MEDIUM-TERM: Bullish
LONG-TERM: Bullish
STERLING/DOLLAR
Sterling/dollar remains under pressure, as expected, after hitting a two-month low on Friday.
Immediate support is at 1.7520. Next floor is at around 1.7475. Strong support follows at 1.7380.
Initial resistance is at 1.7620. That’s followed by 1.7730.
Oscillators are falling.
NEAR-TERM: Bearish
MEDIUM-TERM: Bearish
LONG-TERM: Bullish
DOLLAR/SWISS FRANC
Dollar/Swiss franc reversed losses from a one week low of 1.2852 on Friday and the general sentiment remains positive.
Good resistance remains from a pivotal high at 1.3080. This is a huge level gives way, then there will be few technical barriers ahead of
1.3240.
Initial support is at 1.2995. The next one is 1.2900. Below 1.2845, the dollar/Swiss franc retains support at 1.2790. .
Oscillators are rallying.
NEAR-TERM: Bullish
MEDIUM-TERM: Bullish
LONG-TERM: Bearish"Erfahrung ist das, was Du bekommst, wenn Du nicht bekommst, was Du willst." Randy Pausch -
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Du sagst es, im Moment ist abwarten angesagt, der SP im Cable wurde leider knapp verfehlt, ich bin um 3 Pips nicht in den Markt gekommen, im USDJPY den Short bei 114.00 habe ich nicht gehandelt, da ist der mögliche Profit einfach sehr klein, die Abpraller im USDJPY haben recht wenig Dynamik.
Schau ma mal was der Tag noch so bringt -
Man macht wohl nix falsch, wenn man sich erstmal zurückhält. Vorwärtsbewegung ist im Euro und im Cable momentan gebremst. Vielleicht sehen wir den übergeordneten Trend bald wieder in den kleinen TFs.If you don't bet, you can't win.
If you lose all your chips, you can't bet.
- Larry Hite -
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The Trend is your only Friend
- einer, der Bescheid weiß - -
EUR-USD
R3 = 1.2142
R2 = 1.2109
R1 = 1.2072
Pivot = 1.2039
S1 = 1.2002
S2 = 1.1969
S3 = 1.1932
USD-JPY
R3 = 113.92
R2 = 113.58
R1 = 113.35
Pivot = 113.01
S1 = 112.78
S2 = 112.44
S3 = 112.21
GBP-USD
R3 = 1.7788
R2 = 1.7745
R1 = 1.7678
Pivot = 1.7635
S1 = 1.7568
S2 = 1.7525
S3 = 1.7458
USD-CHF
R3 = 1.3076
R2 = 1.3027
R1 = 1.2981
Pivot = 1.2932
S1 = 1.2886
S2 = 1.2837
S3 = 1.2791 -
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