Forex Trades & Talk
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Heavy [EUR/USD] selling is seen the result of an a large option expiry wit...
Heavy [EUR/USD] selling is seen the result of an a large option expiry with talk revolving around a very large payout digital, ($20mln+), around 1.2830-35. Details very between sources though but all agree that one German name has been a very aggressive seller of spot Eur/Usd to force the print of trade under 1.2830 at 14.00GMT. As a consequence this leave specs with some weakly averaged longs on board and thus the possibility of a more extended stop search. Should this occur the appearance of sovereign buyers into the low 1.28's will be of little surprise.Dinge die man hastig tut,
bedauert man langsam. -
@eric
na dann bin ich mal gespannt ob sich dieses Muster heute oder morgen kopieren lässtDer Autor ist in den besprochenen Werten zumeist selbst investiert. Traden auf eigene Gefahr, Signale sind aktuell großteils experimentell zwecks Challenge "In 30 Tagen zur Trading Strategie".
Plane deinen Trade, trade deinen Plan!
If it´s not a HELL YES, it´s a NO! -
Termine der nächsten 24 Stunden, Zeitangaben GMT
1200 - ATLANTA FED PRESIDENT GUYNN SPEAKS, Sea Island, Georgia.
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Jack Guynn
gives introductory remarks before the Federal Reserve
Bank of Atlanta Financial Markets Conference 2006,
"Hedge Funds: Creators of Risk?"
1230 - U.S. CPI/CORE CPI FOR APRIL
Labor Dept releases the April Consumer Price Index.
Economists in a Reuters survey expect a median 0.5
percent rise compared with a 0.4 percent increase in
March. Excluding volatile food and energy items, CPI is
seen up 0.2 percent versus a 0.3 percent rise in
March.
1230 - U.S. APRIL REAL EARNINGS
Labor Dept issues Real Earnings for April. Economists
in a Reuters survey forecast a median increase of
0.1 percent versus a fall of 0.3 percent in March.
1300 - WORLD RUSSIA FORUM, Washington, D.C.
First day of two-day World Russia Forum.
1315 - BOSTON FED PRESIDENT MINEHAN MODERATES DISCUSSION,
Sea Island, Georgia
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Cathy Minehan
moderates "Policy Session I: Hedge Funds: An Industry
in its Adolescence" before the Federal Reserve Bank of
Atlanta Financial Markets Conference 2006, "Hedge
Funds: Creators of Risk?"
1400 - TREASURY SECRETARY SNOW TESTIFIES, Washington, D.C.
Treasury Secretary John Snow testifies on the state of
the International Financial System before the House
Financial Services Committee.
N/A - CLEVELAND FED MEDIAN CPI FOR APRIL
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland releases its median
Consumer Price Index for April. The index rose 0.4
percent in March.
2330 - REUTERS TANKAN POLL OF JAPAN BUSINESS CONFIDENCE, Tokyo
Reuters releases its May survey of leading Japanese
companies. The April survey's diffusion index came in at
plus 34 -- up from plus 25 in March.
2350 - JAPAN WEEKLY CAPITAL FLOWS DATA, Tokyo
The Finance Ministry releases figures for net purchases
of Japanese stocks by foreigners and net purchases of
foreign bonds by Japanese last week.
DEBT AUCTIONS
FRANKFURT - Germany will sell 8 billion euros of a new
10-year benchmark Bund due in July 4, 2016.
THURSDAY, MAY 18
N/A - BANK OF JAPAN STARTS 2-DAY MEETING, Tokyo
The Bank of Japan is expected to leave short-term
interest rates pegged near zero as it draws down excess
liquidity from the banking system, but to leave the door
open for a rate increase as early as July.
N/A - BOE IMPLEMENTS STERLING MONEY MARKET REFORMS
The Bank of England said on April 26 it will implement
its widely-trailed reforms of the sterling money markets,
in an overall scheme to bring overnight interest rates
more in line with the base rate.
c0800- JAPAN VICE FINANCE MINISTER TAKES QUESTIONS, Tokyo
Vice Finance Minister Koichi Hosokawa holds a regular
news conference.
0830 - UK RETAIL SALES, London
Retail sales are expected to have risen 0.5 percent on
the month in April and 2.6 percent on the year. In March,
sales rose 0.7 percent on the month and 2.6 percent on
the year.
N/A - ECONOMIC FORUM, Brussels
Brussels Economic Forum (to May 19) with focus on
competition and innovation, social models, enlargement
and economic outlook. EU Economic and Monetary Affairs
Commissioner Joaquin Almunia gives opening address (1030
GMT). Microsoft Chairman Bill Gates to speak on
competition, innovation and growth (1620 GMT).
N/A - ICELAND INTEREST RATE DECISION, Reykjavik
Iceland's central bank is expected to raise rates for a
14th time in two years this week as it seeks to rein in
surging inflation and ease fears the economy is
overheating. Most analysts expect the bank to raise by 50
or 75 basis points, taking rates to 12.0 or 12.25
percent.
1615 - ECB'S LIIKANEN, St Gallen, Switzerland
European Central Bank's Erkki Liikanen attends session on
"Will integration of Eastern Europe change the European's
stance on competition."
DEBT AUCTIONS
PARIS - France to offer 4.5-5.0 billion euros of July
2008 and Jan 2011 BTANs. France will also offer 1.2
billion euros of July 2017 French inflation linked bonds
and 1.7 billion euros of July 2032 euro zone
inflation linked bonds.
MADRID - Spain auctions 10-year 3.15 percent bonds -
US-VERBRAUCHERPREISE IM APRIL ZUM VORJAHR PLUS 3,5 (PROGNOSE PLUS 3,5) VH; KERNRATE PLUS 2,3 (PROGN. PLUS 2,2) VH
CANADIANS BUY C$9.18 BLN IN CDN SECURITIES IN MARCH; BOUGHT C$4.66 BLN IN FEB (REV FROM C$2.70 BLN)
US-VERBRAUCHERPREISE IN DER KERNRATE IM APRIL ZUM VORMONAT PLUS 0,3 (PROGNOSE PLUS 0,2) VH -
Hier ist mir noch etwas aufgefallen. Zum traden bringt das zwar vermutlich nichts, aber ist irgendwie interessant.
2 mal ist Cable in letzter Zeit an einen Widerstand gelaufen. Und beide male hat sich der Kurs gleich verhalten (bis jetzt).
Erst ein Bearish Engulfing. Beim ersten mal ist es zwar nicht ganz korrekt, weil das open der schwarzen Kerze ein paar Pips zu tief liegt. Aber ich glaube das kann man manchmal vernachlässigen, sagt Nison, es ist die "Aussage" die zählt. Dann ein Harami, was im Prinzip das Bearish Engulfing wieder entkräftet. Dann wieder eine Kerze, welche höher geht. Im April war das zwar ein Doji und heute eine relativ starke, weisse Kerze aber der Tag ist noch nicht zu Ende.
Ineressant ist dass am Widerstand eine stark bearishe Kerze kommt, dann aber wieder die Bullen übernehmen und schliesslich der Widerstand durchbrochen wurde.Dieser Beitrag wurde bereits 1 mal editiert, zuletzt von „eric“ ()
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Ja, alles klar jetzt.
Harami
investopedia.com/terms/b/bearishharami.asp
Inside Day
boersenverlag.de/wissen/lexikon.php3?start=i&id=926
Beim Inside Day zählen die Extreme und beim Harami der Körper. -
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Hallo
Ich kenne das Inside Day Pattern nicht richtig, nur Harami und das müsste ich auch erst wieder nachlesen. Aber ich denke was man braucht, ist ein Tag, bei welchem Open und Close innerhalb von Open und Close des Vortags liegen. So wie auf meinem Bild. Das Close der grösseren, schwarzen Kerze ist bei 1.8790 und das Open der weissen bei 1.8791. -
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Hallo
Hat jemand den gestrigen Inside Day in Cable, Euro oder auch USDCHF gehandelt?
Ich habe damit keine Erfahrung und habe es nicht gemacht. Die gestrige Kerze war etwas gross und am unteren Rand der vorgestrigen, aber ich glaube das wäre trotzdem ok gewesen.
Meinungen dazu?Dieser Beitrag wurde bereits 1 mal editiert, zuletzt von „eric“ ()
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GBP/USD] is a beneficiary of a fresh bout of Usd weakness. A Merrill Ly...
[GBP/USD] is a beneficiary of a fresh bout of Usd weakness. A Merrill Lynch survey finds that fund managers believe the Usd is the leading currency most likely to suffer a decline over the next 12 months. Cable now trades above the 1.8900 mark, although semi official supply has been seen into the highs over recent sessions. The focus will later turn to BOE muinutes (7-1 f/c) and April's unemployment report (5.0k f/c) and wages (average earnings 4.3% y/y f/c) data at 8.30GMT, which could impact on the monetary policy outlook and therefore Gbp. Also on the UK front comes a speech by BOE's King. Given current Usd negative sentiment, a fresh 1.90 test looks likely. However, it is worth watching developments in the possible Cad 16.1bln deal between UK's Xstrata and Falconbridge, potentially Gbp negative.Dinge die man hastig tut,
bedauert man langsam. -
The [YEN] has led the way higher against the Dollar taking trade back down ...
The [YEN] has led the way higher against the Dollar taking trade back down to the sensitive 109.30 area. When last seen this level drew plenty of speculation regarding some large buy interest, and talk of pension fund bids has already resurfaced. No doubt we will hear of covert bids or BOJ rate checking rumours ahead, though the expectation of such suggests that we will see lower Usd/Yen levels yet. The major target lies within 108.80-00, and revolves around the defence of a large option barrier at 108.90, expiry next week. UK and Swiss sellers have been prominent in Asia, with a Merrill lynch poll of fund managers showing a clear preference for future Usd/Yen weakness. 49% of fund managers see the Usd overvalued, the Yen also seen as the most overvalued currency. Fund managers are also overweight Japanese equities, underweight the US.Dinge die man hastig tut,
bedauert man langsam. -
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Euro-Klub wird erstmals seit Einführung größer: Auch Slowenien ab 2007 dabei!
Litauens Antrag wegen überhöhter Inflation abgelehnt
Slowenien soll zum kommenden Jahreswechsel 13. Mitgliedsland der Euro-Zone werden. Das empfahl die EU-Kommission am Dienstag in Straßburg.
Litauen darf nicht zum kommenden Jahreswechsel den Euro einführen. Die EU-Kommission lehnte ein Beitrittsgesuch zur Gemeinschaftswährung wegen überhöhter Inflation ab. -
HauuuuuRuuuuuuuuck
gleich kommen wichtige Zahlen zu Maß, mich juckt das nicht.“So ist es gut, so ist es recht, niemandes Herr, niemandes Knecht.”Dieser Beitrag wurde bereits 1 mal editiert, zuletzt von „Zocki“ ()
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