Forex Trades & Talk
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"Habe jetzt das Programm in die Liste aufgenommen. "
Sehr mutig ! Keine Angst vor russischen Hackern ?
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Original von Schuni
so ein später start in den tag ist nicht so gut. dann will man unbedingt einen trade machen und greift in die weiche masse.....
schuni, dieses Gefühl kenne ich nur sehr gut. Mein Tag ist auch nicht so besonders. Habe zwar vorhin mutig bei 1900 zugegriffen (+30 pips) aber der Tag ist irgendwie schlecht zum Traden.
Alles gute noch
gruss,
josh -
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LONDON, July 1 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve raised its Federal Funds rate 0.25 percentage points to 3.25 percent on June 30. As a result the average rate set by the central banks of the Group of Seven nations rose to 2.50 percent from 2.45 percent.
The average rate set by 11 leading central banks -- the five that set rates for the G7 nations plus six other major banks -- remains at 2.83 percent. This follows the Fed move, plus a 0.25 percentage point rise by the Norwegian central bank on June 30 and a cut by Sweden's Riksbank in its repo rate by 0.5 percentage points to new historic low of 1.50 percent on June 21.
The following table of average rates is aimed at reflecting the movement of official policy rates during the economic cycle rather than actual borrowing costs.
Code:
2005
MONTH: END03..END04..01...02...03...04...05...06...07...08...09...10...11...12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
G7 AVG: 1.90 2.30 - 2.35 2.40 - 2.45 2.50 - - - - - -
11 AVG: 2.47 2.72 - 2.74 2.81 - 2.83 2.83 - - - - - -
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FED 1.00 2.25 - 2.50 2.75 - 3.0 3.25 - - - - - -
BOJ 1) 0.00 0.00 - - - - - - - - - - - -
ECB 2.00 2.00 - - - - - - - - - - - -
BOE 3.75 4.75 - - - - - - - - - - - -
BOC 2.75 2.50 - - - - - - - - - - - -
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SNB 2) 0.25 0.75 - - - - - - - - - - - -
RBA 5.25 5.25 - - 5.50 - - - - - - - - -
RBNZ 5.00 6.50 - - 6.75 - - - - - - - - -
RIKSBK 2.75 2.00 - - - - - 1.5 - - - - - -
NORWAY 2.25 1.75 - - - - - 2.0 - - - - - -
DNMRK 2.15 2.15 - - - - - - - - - - - -
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NO. OF RATE
CHANGES: 2004: 26 - 1 3 - 1 3 - - - - - -
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MONTH: END03..END04..01...02...03...04...05...06...07...08...09...10...11...12
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EASTERN EUROPE:
NBP 5.25 6.50 - - 6.0 5.5 - 5.0 - - - - - -
NBH 12.50 9.50 9.0 8.25 7.75 7.5 7.25 7.0 - - - - - -
CNB 2.00 2.50 2.25 - 2.0 1.75 - - - - - - - -
NBS 6.00 4.00 - 3.0 - - - - - - - - - -
SLOV 7.25 5.00 - - - - - - - - - - - -
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LATIN AMERICA:
BRAZ 16.5 17.75 18.25 18.75 19.25 19.5 19.75 - - - - - - -
MEX 3) 6.1 8.5 8.6 9.1 9.4 9.6 - - - - - - - -
CHIL 2.25 2.25 2.5 2.75 - 3.0 - - - - - - - -
COL 6.25 5.5 - - - - - - - - - - - -
VEN 28.5 28.5 - - - - - - - - - - - -
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASIA
KOREA 3.75 3.25 - - - - - - - - - - - -
THAI 1.25 2.00 - - 2.25 2.5 - - - - - - - -
PHIL 6.75 6.75 - - - 7.0 - - - - - - - -
TAIWN 1.375 1.75 - - 1.875 - - 2.0 - - - - - -
INDS 4) 8.3 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.4 7.8 - - - - - - - -
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA:
SARB 8.0 7.5 - - - 7.0 - - - - - - - -
ISRL 4.8 3.7 3.5 - - - - - - - - - - -
TURK 26.0 18.0 17.0 16.5 15.5 15.0 14.5 14.25 - - - - - -
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MONTH: DEC03..DEC04..01...02...03...04...05...06...07...08...09...10...11...12
NOTES:
If rates change more than once a month, the last rate for that month is
listed.
1. The Bank of Japan shifted policy target from the uncollateralised
overnight call rate to outstanding balance of current account deposits that
banks and other institutions hold at the BOJ, the so-called quantitative easing,
on March 19, 2001. Since then the call rate has been effectively zero.
2. The Swiss National Bank targets a range for the three-month Swiss franc
LIBOR rate. On June 17 it raised key interest rates by a quarter point, widening
its interest rate target band to 0.00 to 1.00 percent from 0.00-0.75 percent
where it had stood since March 6, 2003. The SNB said it now aimed for the
mid-point, or 0.50 percent within the new, wider target band.
3. The Bank of Mexico manages reserve money through weekly open market
operations. The benchmark is the 28-day treasury bills, Cetes. This is a monthly
average rate, rounded to one decimal.
4. The Bank of Indonesia's benchmark rate is the one month Sertifikat Bank
Indonesia (SBI). The bank uses a weighted rate at the last auction of the month
to reflect the rate for the whole month. Figure rounded to one decimal.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
INTEREST RATES. (All the interest rates are policy rates identified by each
central bank.):
GROUP OF SEVEN CENTRAL BANKS:
U.S FEDERAL RESERVE = federal funds rate
BANK OF JAPAN = overnight call rate
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK = refi rate
BANK OF ENGLAND = repo rate
BANK OF CANADA = overnight funding rate
MAJOR CENTRAL BANKS:
SWISS NATIONAL BANK = 3-month Swiss Libor
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA = cash rate
RESERVE BANK OF NEW ZEALAND = cash rate
SWEDISH RIKSBANK = repo rate
NORGES BANK = deposit rate
DENMARKS NATIONALBANK = 2-week cd rate
EASTERN EUROPE:
NATIONAL BANK OF POLAND (NBP): 28-day intervention rate
NATIONAL BANK OF HUNGARY: (NBH) 2-week deposit rate
CZECH NATIONAL BANK (CNB): 2-week repo rate
NATIONAL BANK OF SLOVAKIA (NBS): 2-week limit repo rate
BANK OF SLOVENIA: Lombard rate replaced discount Jan. 2003.
LATIN AMERICA:
CENTRAL BANK OF BRASIL (BCB): Selic rate
CENTRAL BANK OF CHILE (BCC): Discount rate
BANK OF COLOMBIA (BRC): One-day reverse repo
BANK OF MEXICO: 28 day Cetes rate
CENTRAL BANK OF VENEZUELA (BCV): Discount rate
ASIA:
BANK OF KOREA: Overnight call rate
BANK OF THAILAND: 14-day repurchase rate
CENTRAL BANK OF PHILIPPINES: Overnight borrowing rate
CENTRAL BANK OF CHINA (TAIWAN): Discount rate
BANK OF INDONESIA: One month SBI rate
MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA:
SOUTH AFRICAN RESERVE BANK: Repurchase rate
BANK OF ISRAEL: Short-term lending rate
CENTRAL BANK OF TURKEY: Overnight borrowing -
Hier ein Link zu den Kontraktspezifikationen der neuen FX Futures der Eurex.
eurexchange.com/download/presentations/Specs_FX-Futures.pdf -
US Factory Orders in May showed the strongest rise in over a year at 2.9% vs. 0.9 last month. The Dollar trading close to the high could not add to its gains in a overall slow day.
The European parliament yesterday rejected the ECBs report on its 2004 bank policy, sending a message that politicians are not at all happy with Trichet focus on price stability and that they wish for a rate cut. Will this be enough to pressure the ECB for an unexpected cut tomorrow? I doubt it but the discussion will continue after the summer break and without better growth prospects, there may not be a way around it.
US Treasury Secretary Snow was pleased with US Senators decision, not to press ahead with a bill on special tariffs on Chinese goods, yet. China will certainly be urged once more over this weekends G8 summit in Scotland to revalue its currency, a move that US lawmakers hope will be done by October or trade sanctions are back in discussion. Meanwhile anti-G8 protesters have clashed with the police for a first time in Scotland, blocking road access to Gleneagles, protest are expected to continue through-out the week.
Todays Key Issues:
The day starts with European Retail PMI for the month of June at 10.00GMT. Summer sales may have started too late to have much of an impact but expectations are for a slight rise from last months reading of 50.2.
The UKs Industrial Production and Manufacturing Production are out at 08:30GMT, both should slow slightly: -0.1% and -0.2% respectively.
We are looking forward to Mr. Trichet speech in Paris at 10:30GMT, wondering how much his wording will change from Tuesday after the ECB report failed the EU parliaments vote with 296:287.
From the US we will be expecting the ISM Non-Manufacturing survey for June.
The Risk Today:
We did get a little bit of a bounce yesterday but too little to brag about, 1.1930 was only passed this morning and we find another resistance at 1.1945 stopping further rallies so far. Looking at the short-term Cable chart we can see the last 2-days sideways movement allowing medium-term trend-lines to catch up, today key level at 1.7595 should play the decisive role whether we get the expected rise to 1.7750 or further dips. The 1.7450 medium-term support cannot be seen, being the 38% retracement of the 2002-05 ascension it is a major support and a fall should be limited there. -
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oh mannnnnn, da ist man kurz mal einkaufen weil man denkt, um diese zeit geht eh nichts mehr und was sehen meine trüben augen, super chancen waren da.
KV's break ist aufgegangen, echt super.
und im cable wars ja auch nicht ohne.
aber, es kommen ja täglich mehrere chancen.
jetzt mal mittagspause, mahlzeit.
lg
heiho
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