Hallo MäryMärz,
der Autor gibt legt dafür grundlegend folgende Gründe dar:
1. Die Ausgabenwelle der Babyboom-Generation
2. Der 80-jährige Zyklus der Wirtschaft
3. Die S-Kurve der Wirtschaft ( Innovation, Wachstum, Reife )
4. Dow Channel of Growth
...auszug aus der HP
www.hsdent.com
By 2008, I see the Dow headed to a high of 35,000 to 41,000. Sound outrageous? Perhaps it does, but it is based on a standard projection using the Dow's rate of growth that began in late 1982.
Since 1982, we have enjoyed nearly twenty years of continual prosperity that has been marred by only a few brief corrections. The Dow and the S&P 500 have increased at an average annual rate of 17%. When shown on a ratio graph instead of numerical graph like the chart below, this rate of growth appears as a channel that clearly projects a peak of around 41,000 by late 2008. This is even higher than the projected high of 35,000 that I forecast in my 1998 book The Roaring 2000s.
And, of course, I see the NASDAQ growing at an even faster rate than the Dow and the S&P. Based on the NASDAQ channel of growth we should see it hit 30,000 plus by 2008.
Biender
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Friday, May 25th 2012, 1:07pm
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auch schweigen kann eine Antwort sein...*lach!
